Two short-range calls, tested on 2018–26 days they never trained on.
How market makers' hedging may push SPY around. Estimated from open interest.
SPY, QQQ, SPX and IWM side by side, then SPY at every strike and expiry. The King (biggest gamma) is always shown.
How much movement the options are charging for, next to how much SPY has actually been moving.
Today's flagged trades from your options flow bot (SPY, SPX, QQQ). Free data can't tell a buy from a sell, so this shows where big money traded, not which way.
Chance SPY closes above a price you pick.
Read this before trusting a number.
| Idea | Data | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Predict the exact 4pm close (VWAP pull, momentum, gap fill, range middle, round-strike pin) | 2,200 days, 2018–26 | None beat "stays where it is now". Direction 47–52%. |
| 0DTE options flow → next 60 min (call vs put $, OTM flow, surges, flow trend) | 6,600 moments, 2024–26 | No edge. Direction 49–53%, guessing "up" gets 52%. |
| Heaviest-volume strike as a magnet, before 2pm | 560 days, 2024–26 | No edge. SPY usually ends farther from it. |
| Last hour up/down at 12:00 / 12:30 pm PT (day's trend, first-half-hour momentum, last 30 min, VWAP, yesterday's close, high/low position) | 2,200 days, 2018–26 | No edge. All 47–52%. |
| Gap direction called at 4pm (before any after-hours trading) | 2,160 days, 2018–26 | Nothing beat "always up" (57%). |
| Heaviest-volume strike as a magnet, from 3pm | ~400 days, 2024–26 | Small lean: moved toward it 55–60% of the time, held each year. Avg pull only ~$0.15. |